Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.244620 3.628341 4.043928 4.528215 5.077993 5.683790 6.403334
2024-10-27 2.554427 3.036828 3.595937 4.294490 5.147577 6.160129 7.459839
2024-11-03 2.222107 2.766151 3.429884 4.304651 5.435234 6.857942 8.800822
2024-11-10 2.024816 2.617474 3.371723 4.410997 5.819783 7.682914 10.366553
2024-11-17 1.844783 2.461726 3.275444 4.440014 6.084751 8.355847 11.783765
2024-11-24 1.698329 2.330495 3.191007 4.464809 6.331169 9.010719 13.231355
2024-12-01 1.574405 2.215313 3.112863 4.482777 6.558470 9.647333 14.709052
2024-12-08 1.434500 2.063146 2.965704 4.380913 6.590000 9.984242 15.747894
2024-12-15 1.335210 1.960563 2.879845 4.358856 6.734413 10.498953 17.116553
2024-12-22 1.242823 1.860025 2.787299 4.315182 6.835418 10.946555 18.413447
2024-12-29 1.211161 1.849054 2.829498 4.486021 7.296407 12.024173 20.916731
2025-01-05 1.145131 1.778707 2.772022 4.487530 7.470876 12.628100 22.635331
2025-01-12 1.073426 1.695824 2.690833 4.446929 7.576769 13.136198 24.266651
2025-01-19 0.969742 1.553763 2.502718 4.208194 7.311190 12.950823 24.545930
2025-01-26 0.921785 1.500628 2.458638 4.216266 7.490379 13.599656 26.551478
2025-02-02 0.894631 1.480378 2.468311 4.319811 7.854020 14.631851 29.470459
2025-02-09 0.857049 1.439380 2.438610 4.348089 8.075673 15.407630 31.946337
2025-02-16 0.821797 1.399928 2.408488 4.372299 8.290118 16.188361 34.533182
2025-02-23 0.788233 1.361148 2.376588 4.389850 8.491577 16.960787 37.202167
2025-03-02 0.740645 1.293988 2.288198 4.290332 8.444229 17.201412 38.660617
2025-03-09 0.707343 1.250870 2.241387 4.268781 8.555929 17.793827 41.036788
2025-03-16 0.673660 1.204989 2.186326 4.226111 8.618240 18.281980 43.220503
2025-03-23 0.668168 1.211753 2.232110 4.393019 9.149674 19.886191 48.470938